History often changes from unexpected events

W.Minh Tuan

On December 7, 1941, when the Japanese army launched a surprise attack on the US military’s Pearl Harbor naval base in the Hawaiian Sea, the Japanese could not have known that it was the beginning of their defeat.

Japanese defeat in World War II, and the price they had to pay, was even more terrible, when two American atomic bombs were dropped on Hiroshima on August 6, and on Nagazaki on August 9, 1945. The entire feudal polity that lasted for more than 4000 years in Japan began to collapse after that Pearl Harbor incident.

On August 15, 1945, the Japanese surrendered to the Allies unconditionally, and at that time, no one could have imagined that from that humiliating defeat, in the ashes of war, Japan had worked hard, humbly learned, so that 23 years later, in 1968, they rose to be the world’s No. 2 economic power for 43 years, only in February 2011 did they yield to this No. 2 position to China.

Japan is an Asian country, tiny, with almost no resources, always suffering from earthquakes, volcanoes, tsunamis, failing miserably in wars, but Japan has been rising to occupy the position of the world’s number two economic power.

The world is something that no one expected before.

On October 23, 1956, Hungarian students protested against the Communist Government, causing Soviet troops to invade Hungary to be mobilized to suppress the protesters.

The Hungarians resisted, and as a result more than 2,000 Hungarians, and 700 Soviet soldiers were killed.

When Soviet soldiers invaded Hungary on November 4, 1956 to suppress Hungarian protesters, they did not know that the event had planted the seeds of anti-communism smoldering and growing stronger in Hungary people’s hearts.

For 30 years, Hungarians were banned from discussing the 1956 protest event.

But since 1986, Hungarians began to openly discuss the protests 30 years earlier, creating an unexpectedly strong anti-communist wave.

The pent-up frustrations, that were banned for the past 30 years, are now exploding violently. And on October 23, 1989, the 33rd anniversary of that 1956 rally, that seemingly ordinary celebration in 1989, but had led to the revolution that ended communism in Hungary.

On October 23, 1989, the communist regime in Hungary collapsed, and no one could have predicted that this event would quickly lead to the fall of the Berlin Wall just over a week later, and from there to the collapse of the entire socialist camp in Eastern Europe was unexpectedly rapid.

Thus, no one could have expected that the Soviet military’s suppression of the Hungarian people in 1956 would be the seed to lead to the collapse of the entire Socialist faction 30 years later, in 1989.

The Hungarian government collapsed, Hungarian laws immediately changed, and Hungarians and East Germans who passed through Hungary were free to travel to abroad and to the West Germany.

Hundreds of thousands of East Germans flooded into Hungary to travel to West Germany. Just over a week later, the people of East Germany suddenly found the Berlin Wall erected on August 13, 1961, to be an unreasonable impediment to free travel. And they began hammering down the Berlin Wall on November 9, 1989, after the Hungarian government allowed free travel for just over a week.

And who would have guessed that the hammer blows that smashed the Berlin Wall for the sake of not being anti-Government at all: we wanted freedom of travel, and the police could not violently suppress it for very peaceful reasons, not against that government.

And since then, the struggle for free travel has led to the collapse of the entire socialist system that gripped Eastern Europe.

No one could have predicted that such wonderful things would lead to such great changes in the political life of countries.

Just like in Tunisia, Africa, in 2010, 26-year-old Tunisian young Mohamed Buoazizi, when he set himself on fire to protest the police not allowing him to sell vegetables on the street on December 17, 2010, no one could suspected that that very personal event would lead to the Tunisian revolution, and just over two months later, on February 14, 2011, the Ben Ali police dictatorship had to collapse, the family of President Ben Ali had to fled the country, after 23 years of ruling Tunisia with a police government.

And from Tunisia, which led to revolutions in Egypt, Libya, Syria,,,, today, and perhaps will be more.

In 1968, the Vietnamese Labor Party launched the Spring Mau Than General Offensive, which suffered a catastrophic military defeat.

But no one could have expected that the military defeat in the 1968 Spring Mau Than General Offensive was a huge political victory, which resulted in the anti-war movement in the America. The American anti-war movement grew stronger than ever, which led to the US government to de-escalated the war, and signed the Paris Agreement in 1973.

On January 1, 1973, when Comrade Le Duc Tho and US Secretary of State Kissinger signed the Paris Agreement on peace in Vietnam, no one could believe that those signatures were also the beginning of the end of Vietnam’s Hoang Sa archipelago to China.

The Chinese applauded the Paris Agreement even louder than our Vietnamese, because it was an invaluable guarantee that the US military would not be able to intervene in Vietnam again.

And on January 17, 1974, China attacked the Hoang Sa archipelago, on the 19th, it took over the Hoang Sa archipelago from the old Saigon army, 64 soldiers of the Republic of Vietnam fell in the battles to protect Hoang Sa.

And yet, on March 14, 1988, China continued to attack the Spratly Islands, occupying Gac Ma Island and 5 other islands in the Spratlys, 74 soldiers died heroically, 2 ships were sunk, but the island is still lost.

And on December 25, 1978, when our Vietnam attacked Cambodia to destroy the Polpot genocidal regime, we Việt Nam  could not expect that it would be an excuse for China to open a full-scale war on the entire country. China had launched all invasion to Việt Nam six northern border provinces on February 17, 1979.

Historical events always have an unexpected connection.

Just as one would have thought that the great earthquake of March 11, 2011 that struck Japan, was the event that led to the beginning of the shrinking, and possibly ending, of the era of nuclear power worldwide.

On May 26, 2011, when the Chinese Hai Giam vessel cut the cable of Vietnam’s Binh Minh 2 ship right in Vietnam’s exclusive economic zone, no one would have expected that the anti-China protests would resound prolific, persistent, which lasted until the eighth week in Hanoi, with a bravery, cleverly organized, coherent, and increasingly powerful, and probably will continue to do so in the future.

Who can imagine the anti-China protest on July 24, 2011 in Hanoi, the crowd of thousands of protesters raised banners with the names of all 74 soldiers of Uncle Ho’s Army, and 64 soldiers. Of the Republic of Vietnam fell in the battles to defend the Paracels in 1974, and to defend the Spratlys in 1988.

Who would have thought that the names of soldiers who were once enemies, now line up side by side, unite, parade around Hoan Kiem Lake, in 2011, 36 years after the Vietnam War end.

And no one could have imagined that, on July 27, 2011, on the occasion of Vietnam’s War Invalids and Martyrs’ Day, there was a celebration in Saigon for both soldiers of the Republic of Vietnam and soldiers of the army of Uncle Ho, equally commemorated and honored, in the struggle to protect the sea and islands, against the Big Friend of Việt Nam, the words that Việt Nam party uses to indicate China.

And on February 24, 2022, Russian President Putin sent Russian troops into Ukraine to invade Ukraine, then everyone thought that the peaceful Ukraine would fail in a few weeks. The US Embassy in Ukraine has asked Ukrainian President Zelensky that they will send the plane carrying President Zelensky to escape to abroad.

President Zelensky wittily and bravely replied: “We need planes carrying weapons and ammunition to help us, but we don’t need a hitchhiking flight” – indeed the words of a the world’s greatest comedian, now president.

Up to now, after nearly a year of war in Ukraine, no one can expect that the Ukrainians have fought so bravely, and are getting better and better, and are now gradually regaining the territories that were seized by the Russian army.

And the biggest surprise, is that Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine will lead to the inevitable demise of the Putin dynasty, in the not too distant future.

Please wait and see.

So when the US government of US President Biden cowardly in October 2022, advised the Ukrainian government to give in to Russia to sit at the negotiating table to end the war, the cowardly Biden will never know that his name will go down in the history books as one of the most cowardly American presidents in America, and the most cowardly president in human history.

Of course, the brave Ukrainians rejected that cowardly American advice.

Will the Americans abandon the Ukrainians again, like the Americans abandoned the Republic of Vietnam like in 1975?

Probably not, because if that happens, Americans will have no friends in the world, everyone will stay away from cowardly Americans.

With our Vietnam, if the Big Friend cut the cable of our Vietnamese ship for the third time, and again hit, caught, and killed our Việt Nam fisherman, what events would happen?

Then it will be a landslide, signaling a new spring will come in the country of Vietnam with more than 4000 years of history.

At that time, the lyrics “Get up and go”, and “Uncle still march with us” will resound throughout the new Vietnam, to protect the motherland, protect the sea and islands, protect the 4000 years history of Việt Nam.

Because the government and party maybe will end, but the Việt Nam nation will live for ever.///

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